Who To Bet On In Super Bowl

More people than ever will have access to betting the Super Bowl this season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs (Over 57.5): Bet Now. The current Super Bowl LV total is sitting at 57.5 points—tied with Super Bowl LI for the highest Over/Under in Big Game history. Mattress Mack bet big on the Super Bowl underdog and it paid off. Jim McIngvale bet $3.46 million on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 points in Sunday's Super Bowl. The Bucs thrashed the Chiefs 31-9. The largest reported Super Bowl bet ever, in terms of amount risk, is believed to be a $4.8 million money-line wager on the Rams to beat the Patriots in Super Bowl XXXVI that was placed with MGM. How Long Will It Take Eric Church To Sing The U.S. National Anthem at the Super Bowl?

That will be the case each of the next few years, as more states add legal sports betting. With the proliferation of apps for betting and a fun matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs, the amount bet on Super Bowl LV could be staggering. There has already been a $2.3 million bet on the Buccaneers at BetMGM.

Betting on the Super Bowl is unlike any other event. There’s only one game but it has more interest than any other. That’s why, 35 years ago, the first Super Bowl prop was offered on whether Bears defensive tackle William “The Refrigerator” Perry would score in Super Bowl XX (he did). For Super Bowl LV, you’d probably miss kickoff just counting all the props that are offered.

The Super Bowl is a holiday for serious bettors and casual ones alike. Here are some tips on how to bet on the biggest game of the year:

Who is favored in Super Bowl LV?

The Kansas City Chiefs are 3.5-point favorites at BetMGM. That means if Kansas City wins by 4 points or more, Chiefs bets are winners. If Tampa Bay wins, or loses by 3 or fewer points, Buccaneers bettors will be happy.

The line has changed a little bit, and could again. When sportsbooks take a large bet, a wager from a respected bettor or a large volume of bets on one team, they will move the line to entice action on the other team. Sportsbooks don’t want too much action on one team, preferring a more even split. That’s why the Super Bowl line has bounced around.

It opened at Chiefs -3.5, then some Buccaneers bets moved it to -3. A majority of bets have been on the Chiefs (about 80 percent of the money bet on the point spread before the $2.3 million Bucs bet was on Kansas City), and that led BetMGM to move it back to -3.5. The line could move without any notice all the way up until kickoff.

Who should I bet on?

First of all, don’t trust anyone who says they have a lock. There is no such thing.

If you believe in Tom Brady’s history in Super Bowls and want to bet on the Buccaneers +3.5, it’s justified. Maybe you watched Patrick Mahomes dominate in the AFC championship game and think the Chiefs will beat the Buccaneers by four points or more. Plenty of bettors agree with that side.

The truth is, you can find stats and trends to back up either side. It’s the Super Bowl; both teams have played very well to get to this point. Do your research and trust your pick.

OK, but are there any key trends that stand out?

The Chiefs had a weird season from a betting aspect. From Nov. 1 to the divisional round, the Chiefs didn’t win a game by more than six points and didn’t cover the spread once, even though they won all but one game straight up in that time. It’s rare to see a good team like the Chiefs fail to cover the spread nine times in a row, though they did cover against the Buffalo Bills last week in the AFC title game.

Against the spread records aren’t necessarily predictive. But for those who think the Chiefs will roll to a big win, it’s a reminder that such things aren’t so easy in the NFL.

What is the over/under?

A lot of points are expected to be scored in this game. The over/under (which is the combined amount of points scored for both teams) is 56.5 at MGM. The highest over/under in Super Bowl history is 57. Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes each had good seasons, and it’s no surprise there’s a large total for the game.

Aside from the point spread, the over/under is the second-most popular bet in most games. Recreational bettors generally prefer wagering on the over. It’s more fun to root for points to be scored, in any sport.

Should I bet the moneyline instead?

For some, the point spread is frustrating. Betting on the Chiefs -3.5 and watching them win 27-24, failing to cover the spread, isn’t a fun way to end the NFL season.

You don’t have to bet on the point spread. You can take either team to win straight up on the moneyline. The moneyline for the Chiefs is -175, meaning a bettor would win $100 on a $175 bet. For the underdog Buccaneers, it’s +150, turning a $100 bet into a $150 profit. It wouldn’t matter how much either team wins by, just that they win.

Got it. Now how about those props?

The props that get the most attention are the novelty ones. There are cross-sport props, in which you can bet a superstar NBA player’s point total on Super Bowl Sunday vs. the amount of points the Chiefs score, for one example. You can bet on which team will throw the challenge flag first, the position of Super Bowl MVP, who will record an interception, and many, many more. Some books offer props on the color of the Gatorade the winning coach will get splashed with.

One odd prop that has become popular is the pregame coin toss. That’s right, you can bet heads or tails. A slight majority of bets has come in tails, which according to sources never fails.

Are all props weird ones like the coin flip?

While the novelty props get a lot of attention, there are many conventional prop bets. At BetMGM, you can bet over or under on Patrick Mahomes passing yards (329.5) or Tom Brady passing yards (300.5). There’s also an over/under bet for Brady’s rushing yards, set at 0.5. If Brady runs for a single yard, the bet wins (and the over has +150 odds, meaning a $100 bet would earn a $150 profit if Brady runs for at least one yard).

There are also bets on which players will have 100 yards rushing or 100 yards receiving, how many passing touchdowns Mahomes or Brady will throw for, and dozens of others. Bets like these make every play and every yard important.

What is the most popular prop bet?

Year after year, the player to score the first touchdown is the most popular prop. And every year, the players that get the most bets are the two starting quarterbacks.

How To Bet On Super Bowl Squares

It cost BetMGM last year. Patrick Mahomes started at 21-to-1 to score the first touchdown, and that line moved to 12-to-1 when a lot of bets came in on him. Mahomes scored the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIV, making a lot of bettors happy.

Can I bet on Super Bowl MVP?

Super Bowl MVP betting has become very popular since it was first allowed in Nevada for Super Bowl 50 five years ago. The quarterbacks are usually the favorites, and Patrick Mahomes (+100 odds) and Tom Brady (+200) are favored for Super Bowl LV. About half of the money bet on Super Bowl MVP has been on Mahomes. At BetMGM, there are Super Bowl MVP odds for 57 players.

What if my team isn’t in the Super Bowl?

There’s always next season, and BetMGM has already posted odds on Super Bowl LVI.

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Table Of Contents

What is the Super Bowl?

The Super Bowl is quite simply the biggest game in football. It’s a game that attracts a TV viewership equivalent to roughly a third of the United States population - in 2019, 98 million people across America watched the live broadcast of Super Bowl LIII. The commercial breaks during the show are the most expensive on television, and the half-time show has historically brought in the biggest names in music and entertainment.

All this interest means a lot, but the Super Bowl is made even bigger by the hordes of people who bet on it. With every betting company under the sun offering Super Bowl odds, there’s every chance you’ll find a winning line while watching the big game. Let’s take a look at how to craft a winning bet, and where the best NFL Super Bowl odds are.

Best Super Bowl betting sites

What specific challenges does the Super Bowl present to bettors?

The Super Bowl is a one-off match, the culmination of a season of hard work by both participants. This means that you’re not betting on form as much as you would be in a regular-season game. Anything can happen, and it often does.

The match represents a particular challenge for participants. The stadium hosting the match is on neutral ground, ensuring neither side has home advantage. The other thing is that a lot of neutral fans get tickets for the game, so it’s a lot less partisan than would be the case with games in the NFL regular season.

In the regular season, players generally play in front of predominantly their own fans - distances are so great in the United States that, unlike in Premier League soccer for example, the idea of an army of traveling fans is not so ingrained in the culture. Instead, most grounds are, in the main, filled with supporters of the home team. This gives one of the teams a tremendous advantage in terms of motivation and also pressure being placed on the visitors.

Who To Bet On In Super Bowl Games

In the Super Bowl, it’s all about the mental and physical strength of the teams and individuals taking part. That’s why past Super Bowls have focused so heavily on the actions of the likes of quarterbacks Tom Brady, Peyton Manning and Cam Newton, and why special, game-changing, players such as those three are so prized when it comes to winning the Super Bowl. When a match is played in such a different and unusual atmosphere, often it falls to standout players, leaders of men, to calm the nerves of others on their team and make sure that the players play from a solid base.

Super Bowl Prop Bets Printable

Hence, for bettors, the Super Bowl is a unique challenge, just as it is for the players. Base your betting entirely on what you’ve seen from the teams in the regular season, and you ignore the influence of injuries, a different kind of crowd, and the pageantry and ceremony of the occasion. As a player, you notice it - how can you not, when the half-time show keeps you in the locker room for so long? - and as a bettor you’ve got to tune yourself towards the Super Bowl odds that reflect the special nature of the game.

Super Bowl All Time Most Wins

When betting on the biggest event of the year, it’s always worth bearing in the mind the history and the past winners. Everyone thinks of the Patriots as the most successful team in the NFL, but they’re actually tied for most Super Bowl wins. Check out the Super Bowl winning-most teams below.

What are the most popular Super Bowl bets?

How To Bet On Super Bowl Canada

The bets to avoid if you want to have a fun time watching the Super Bowl are the conventional ones, for example betting on the outright winner of the match with no strings attached. Do that, and you pretty much ensure yourself a boring afternoon in front of the screen, because if you’ve bet on the favorite, you probably won’t get a decent payout, but if you’ve bet on the underdog, you might get lucky, but there’s a greater chance of slipping up, just because football isn’t kind to underdogs, particularly on the biggest stage.

With all that said, there are plenty of bets you might want to consider which are incredibly popular. You can bet on statistical elements of games that catch your interest. For example, betting on the score, or on the number of touchdowns that will be achieved by one or both teams in the game, are excellent bets, if high-risk. For a bit of extra amusement, you might want to add them into a parlay.

Parlays are where you add a series of bets together for a combined set of odds where everything has to happen in order to receive a payout. For example, you might bet that Team X will win the Super Bowl, that four touchdowns will be scored in the game by both sides combined, and that there will be between two and four interceptions overall. This is a high-risk bet, and so you should take care to not stake too much on it, but it certainly spices up the typical betting lines, and might help to add together a few “sure things” to create something where you can win a cool payout.

If one team seems like a clear favorite to you, then why not try betting against the spread on the Super Bowl? Let’s say a team is a heavy favorite and starts at -7, that means that team has to win by 8 points to beat the spread. Effectively, that creates a new, more interesting game for you to bet on, where you see whether that team can win by the predetermined margin or not. It’s edge-of-the-seat excitement.

Oddschecker provides an odds comparison service so you can see all the odds, offers, and promotions from every single sportsbook in one place.

They also provide free picks and analysis across every single sport. This means that at Oddschecker, you will always be able to see the best NFL odds and picks the market has to offer.